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Further Upside For Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 29% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 10, 2024 08:30

Those holding Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 59% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Hope Life International Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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SEHK:1683 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 10th 2024

How Has Hope Life International Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Hope Life International Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hope Life International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hope Life International Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 50% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 121% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hope Life International Holdings' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Hope Life International Holdings' P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Hope Life International Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see Hope Life International Holdings currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hope Life International Holdings.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hope Life International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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