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TD SYNNEX (NYSE:SNX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

TD SYNNEX (NYSE:SNX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

新聚思(纽交所:SNX)在债务使用上存在一定风险
Simply Wall St ·  11/10 08:34

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that TD SYNNEX Corporation (NYSE:SNX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

当David Iben说"波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失"时,他表达得很到位。当我们考虑一家公司的风险性时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过多可能导致灭亡。我们注意到新聚思公司(纽交所:SNX)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务是否会引起股东的担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当债务和其他负债对一家企业来说变得有风险时,要么不能轻松地通过自由现金流,要么不能以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来履行这些义务。资本主义的一个重要内容是"创造性破坏"的过程,失败的企业被它们的银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,仅仅为了控制债务。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了公司可能以高回报率再投资的稀释。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先看现金和债务合计。

What Is TD SYNNEX's Debt?

TD SYNNEX的债务是什么?

As you can see below, TD SYNNEX had US$4.05b of debt, at August 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$853.9m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.20b.

如您在下文所见,2024年8月,新聚思的债务为40.5亿美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表以获取更详细信息。然而,由于其现金储备为85390万美元,其净债务较低,约为32亿美元。

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NYSE:SNX Debt to Equity History November 10th 2024
纽交所:SNX债务与所有者权益历史,2024年11月10日

How Strong Is TD SYNNEX's Balance Sheet?

TD SYNNEX的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that TD SYNNEX had liabilities of US$16.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.05b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$853.9m as well as receivables valued at US$10.9b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$9.29b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,TD SYNNEX在12个月内到期的负债为160亿美元,而到期日更长的负债为50.5亿美元。 抵消这些义务的是,它拥有价值85390万美元的现金以及价值109亿美元的应收款项,在12个月内到期。 因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项的组合高出92.9亿美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$10.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on TD SYNNEX's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相对于其非常显著的107亿美元的市值,这个赤字相当可观,因此表明股东应该始终关注TD SYNNEX对债务的使用。 这表明如果公司需要紧急补充资产负债表,股东们将会受到严重稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

TD SYNNEX has net debt worth 1.9 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.4 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Unfortunately, TD SYNNEX saw its EBIT slide 6.9% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TD SYNNEX's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

TD SYNNEX的净债务价值为EBITDA的1.9倍,这并不算太多,但其利息支付覆盖率似乎有点偏低,以EBIt仅为利息支出的5.4倍计算。 尽管这让我们并不太担心,但它确实表明利息支付在某种程度上是一种负担。 不幸的是,TD SYNNEX在过去12个月中看到其EBIt下降了6.9%。 如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,那么其债务负担将会变得沉重,如同北极熊的心脏看着它唯一的幼仔一样。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。 但最重要的是未来的盈利,而不是任何其他因素,将决定TD SYNNEX未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。 因此,如果您想查看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的这份免费报道很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, TD SYNNEX produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用虚拟利润偿还债务;它需要冰凉的现金。因此,我们明显需要查看EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,新聚思创造了坚实的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的55%,这正是我们所期待的。这笔冰凉的现金意味着在需要时它可以减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

While TD SYNNEX's EBIT growth rate makes us cautious about it, its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities is no better. But its not so bad at converting EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that TD SYNNEX is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for TD SYNNEX that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管新聚思的EBIT增长率使我们对其持谨慎态度,但保持在控制总负债方面的记录并不更好。但它在将EBIT转化为自由现金流方面并不糟糕。当我们考虑到所有讨论的因素时,我们认为新聚思在债务使用上存在一些风险。因此,虽然杠杆确实增加了股本回报率,但我们实际上并不希望看到它从这里增加。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,我们已发现了一个对新聚思的警告信号,您在投资前应该注意这一点。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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