There's Reason For Concern Over Hwatsing Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688120) Massive 26% Price Jump
There's Reason For Concern Over Hwatsing Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688120) Massive 26% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Hwatsing Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688120) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 38% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Hwatsing Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 54.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 36x and even P/E's below 21x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Hwatsing Technology has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hwatsing Technology.How Is Hwatsing Technology's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hwatsing Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.3%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 233% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 37% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Hwatsing Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Hwatsing Technology's P/E
The large bounce in Hwatsing Technology's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Hwatsing Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hwatsing Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hwatsing Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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