Yangtze Optical Electronic Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688143) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Yangtze Optical Electronic is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Communications industry have P/S ratios below 5.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Yangtze Optical Electronic Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Yangtze Optical Electronic as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Yangtze Optical Electronic's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Yangtze Optical Electronic?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Yangtze Optical Electronic's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 15% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 101% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 40%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Yangtze Optical Electronic's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Yangtze Optical Electronic's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Yangtze Optical Electronic maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Communications industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Yangtze Optical Electronic (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.