Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Earnings Have Declined Over Three Years, Contributing to Shareholders 68% Loss
Jiugui Liquor's (SZSE:000799) Earnings Have Declined Over Three Years, Contributing to Shareholders 68% Loss
It is a pleasure to report that the Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000799) is up 54% in the last quarter. But over the last three years we've seen a quite serious decline. Indeed, the share price is down a tragic 70% in the last three years. So it is really good to see an improvement. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.
很高兴地报告,酒鬼酒股份有限公司(深交所代码:000799)在上个季度上涨了54%。但是在过去三年中,我们看到了一些严重的下滑。事实上,股价在过去三年中下跌了悲惨的70%。所以看到改善真的很好。毕竟,这一下跌可能是过度的。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥3.5b to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.
更鼓舞人心的是,公司在过去7天内增加了35亿人民币的市值,让我们看看我们能否判断出是什么导致了股东在过去三年中的损失。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
尽管市场是一个强大的价格机制,但股票价格反映的不仅是潜在业务绩效,还反映了投资者的情绪。 了解市场情绪随时间的变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Jiugui Liquor saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 48% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 33% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 159.54.
在过去三年中,酒鬼酒的每股收益以48%的复合年增长率下降。相比之下,股价的年复合下降率33%并没有每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,尽管之前令人失望,但股东们一定对长期情况改善抱有一定信心。这种积极的情绪也体现在其159.54的高市盈率中。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
Dive deeper into Jiugui Liquor's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Jiugui Liquor's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看这个互动图表,更深入地了解酒鬼酒的关键指标,包括其收益、营业收入和现金流。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Jiugui Liquor had a tough year, with a total loss of 17% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 11%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Jiugui Liquor (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
酒鬼酒的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损为17%(包括分红派息),而市场增幅约为11%。然而,请记住,即便是最佳的股票,有时在十二个月的周期内也会表现不及市场。好消息是,长期持有的股东们已获得利润,在过去五年中每年增长了12%。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,当前的卖出潮可能是一个值得考虑的机会。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股票价格的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的持续存在。我们发现了酒鬼酒的三个警告信号(至少有两个略显不愉快),理解它们应成为您投资过程的一部分。
We will like Jiugui Liquor better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大额内部买入,我们会更喜欢酒鬼酒。与此同时,请查看这份免费的被低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),其中包含了相当可观的、近期的内部买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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