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Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD's (SHSE:600070) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 11, 2024 14:09

Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD (SHSE:600070) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SHSE:600070 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

How Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 94% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's P/S Mean For Investors?

Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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