The Cultural Investment Holdings Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600715) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.5% isn't as attractive.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.2x, you may consider Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 9.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 42% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 33% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.