share_log

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708) For Its Next Dividend

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708) For Its Next Dividend

买入家家悦集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603708)可能不是一个好主意,因为下一个股息。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/11 16:24

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. This means that investors who purchase Jiajiayue Group's shares on or after the 15th of November will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of November.

常规读者会知道,Simply Wall St 热爱分红派息,这就是为什么很高兴看到家家悦集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603708)将在接下来的三天内进行除权交易。 除权日是股权登记日的前一个营业日,这是股东被列入公司名册以有资格获得分红支付的截止日期。 除权日很重要,因为每当买卖股票时,交易至少需要两个营业日来结算。 这意味着在11月15日或之后购买家家悦集团股票的投资者将不会收到将于11月15日支付的分红。

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.11 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥0.22 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Jiajiayue Group stock has a trailing yield of around 1.9% on the current share price of CN¥11.35. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Jiajiayue Group can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

公司的下一个分红支付将是每股人民币0.11。去年,公司总共向股东分配了人民币0.22。根据去年的支付总额,家家悦集团股票在当前每股人民币11.35的股价上具有约1.9%的滚动收益。分红派息对于长期持有者来说是投资回报的一个重要贡献者,但前提是分红持续支付。因此,我们需要调查家家悦集团是否能够负担得起其分红,并且分红是否能够增长。

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Jiajiayue Group distributed an unsustainably high 168% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. What's good is that dividends were well covered by free cash flow, with the company paying out 12% of its cash flow last year.

分红通常是用公司利润支付的,因此如果公司支付的金额超过其盈利,则其分红通常更容易受到削减。去年,家家悦集团以不可持续的方式将其利润的168%分配给股东作为分红。没有更可持续的支付行为,分红看起来很脆弱。然而,现金流通常比利润更重要,用于评估分红可持续性,因此我们应始终检查公司是否有足够的现金来负担其分红。 相关的好消息是分红由自由现金流很好地覆盖,公司去年支付了其现金流的12%作为分红。

It's good to see that while Jiajiayue Group's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

很高兴看到家家悦集团的分红虽然未被利润覆盖,但至少在现金的角度来看是可负担得起的。如果高管继续支付的分红多于公司利润的报告数额,我们将视其为一个警示信号。极少数公司有能力持续支付高于其利润的分红。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

点击此处查看公司的支付比率以及未来分红的分析师预期。

big
SHSE:603708 Historic Dividend November 11th 2024
SHSE:603708在2024年11月11日的历史分红派息

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增长吗?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Jiajiayue Group's 24% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

在股利的角度来看,盈利收缩的企业会比较棘手。如果企业进入衰退并削减股利,公司的价值可能会急剧下降。考虑到这一点,我们对家家悦集团过去五年中盈利每年下降24%感到不安。当每股收益下降时,可以支付的最大股利金额也会下降。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Jiajiayue Group's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.7% per year on average over the past seven years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

衡量公司分红前景的另一个关键方式是通过衡量其历史分红增长率。家家悦集团过去七年每股股利支付平均每年下降2.7%,这令人失望。看到盈利和股利下降从来都不是好事,但至少管理层已经削减了股利,而不是为了维持股利而潜在地危及公司的健康。

To Sum It Up

总结一下

Is Jiajiayue Group worth buying for its dividend? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 168% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Jiajiayue Group's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not that we think Jiajiayue Group is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

家家悦集团值得因为其分红而购买吗?看到公司的盈利下降并支付利润的168%,可能意味着分红可能面临风险。然而,现金流量更强,这让我们怀疑家家悦集团的现金流可能存在一些较大的时间问题,或者该公司可能过度计提一些资产,从而减少其收入。我们并不认为家家悦集团是一家糟糕的公司,但这些特征通常不会导致出色的分红表现。

Although, if you're still interested in Jiajiayue Group and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Jiajiayue Group that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

尽管如此,如果你仍然对家家悦集团感兴趣,并想了解更多,了解这支股票面临的风险将非常有用。例如,我们发现了2个关于家家悦集团的警示信号,建议您在投资该业务之前考虑这些风险。

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

如果你在寻找强劲的股息支付者,我们建议查看我们的顶级股息股票选择。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发