Sichuan Chengfei Integration Technology Corp.Ltd (SZSE:002190) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Auto Components industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sichuan Chengfei Integration TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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