Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002316) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Diversified Financial industry have P/S ratios above 3.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
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How Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 44%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 75% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 3.0% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's P/S?
Despite Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.