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Optimistic Investors Push Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002671) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 12, 2024 06:53

Despite an already strong run, Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002671) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.6% over the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Basic Materials industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:002671 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

How Has Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd Performed Recently?

Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 13% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's P/S?

Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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