China Nature Energy Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1597) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 67% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 46% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider China Nature Energy Technology Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How China Nature Energy Technology Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Nature Energy Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Nature Energy Technology Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is China Nature Energy Technology Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Nature Energy Technology Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 18%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 37% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that China Nature Energy Technology Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On China Nature Energy Technology Holdings' P/S
China Nature Energy Technology Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that China Nature Energy Technology Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China Nature Energy Technology Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Nature Energy Technology Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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