Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603729) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
SHSE:603729 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024
How Has Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group Performed Recently?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 53% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group's P/S
Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai LongYun Cultural Creation & Technology Group that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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