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Analysts Just Slashed Their Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. (SZSE:300450) EPS Numbers

Analysts Just Slashed Their Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. (SZSE:300450) EPS Numbers

分析師剛剛削減了他們對先導智能設備股份有限公司(SZSE:300450)的每股收益預測
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/11 16:42

One thing we could say about the analysts on Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. (SZSE:300450) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business. Investors however, have been notably more optimistic about Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD recently, with the stock price up a magnificent 32% to CN¥24.43 in the past week. With such a sharp increase, it seems brokers may have seen something that is not yet being priced in by the wider market.

關於先導智能設備有限公司(深交所代碼:300450)的分析師,有一點可以說——他們並不樂觀,剛剛對該組織的近期(法定)預測進行了重大負面修正。營收和每股收益(EPS)預測都被削減,暗示分析師對這項業務的看法大幅惡化。然而,投資者最近對先導智能設備有限公司的看法明顯更爲樂觀,過去一週股票價格上漲了32%,達到了24.43元人民幣。在如此急劇的上漲中,似乎經紀人可能看到了市場尚未定價的某些因素。

After the downgrade, the 13 analysts covering Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD are now predicting revenues of CN¥16b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a sizeable 25% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 3,570% to CN¥1.40. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥18b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.77 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

在下調之後,覆蓋先導智能設備有限公司的13位分析師現在預測2025年的營收爲160億人民幣。如果符合預計,這將比過去12個月的銷售增長25%。每股收益預計將躍升3570%,達到1.40元人民幣。在這次最新更新之前,分析師的預測爲2025年營收180億人民幣和每股收益(EPS)1.77元人民幣。看起來分析師的情緒已顯著下降,營收預測大幅下調,每股收益數字也遇到了相當嚴峻的下滑。

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SZSE:300450 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 11th 2024
深交所:300450 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年11月11日

Analysts made no major changes to their price target of CN¥21.94, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's valuation.

分析師對其目標價21.94元人民幣沒有做出重大更改,這表明此次下調預計不會對先導智能設備有限公司的估值產生長期影響。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 19% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 27% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 17% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

獲取這些預測更多背景的一種方法是查看它們與過去表現的比較,以及同一行業其他公司表現的情況。很明顯,市場預期先導智能設備有限公司的營業收入增長將顯著放緩,預計到2025年底的營收年增長率爲19%。與過去五年27%的歷史增長率相比。與行業內其他有分析師覆蓋的公司對比,預計其營業收入(整體)將年增長17%。考慮到預測的增長放緩,看來先導智能設備有限公司的增長率與整個行業大致相當。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. We're also surprised to see that the price target went unchanged. Still, deteriorating business conditions (assuming accurate forecasts!) can be a leading indicator for the stock price, so we wouldn't blame investors for being more cautious on Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD after the downgrade.

新估計中最大的一個問題是,分析師已降低了他們的每股收益估計,這表明先導智能的業務前景將面臨挑戰。雖然我們之前看到他們的營業收入預測也有所下調,但預計增長仍將與整體市場相當。我們也對價格目標沒有變化感到驚訝。儘管如此,惡化的業務狀況(假設預測準確!)可能是股票價格的領先指標,因此我們不會責怪投資者在評級下調後對先導智能保持更謹慎的態度。

After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's business, like concerns around earnings quality. Learn more, and discover the 1 other concern we've identified, for free on our platform here.

在這樣的評級下調之後,很明顯之前的預測過於樂觀。此外,我們已發現先導智能的業務存在幾個可能的問題,例如對盈利質量的擔憂。了解更多,並在我們的平台註冊免費發現我們識別的另一個擔憂。

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies backed by insiders.

跟蹤管理層是購買還是銷售,是尋找可能達到關鍵點的有趣公司的另一種方法,我們的免費公司列表由內部支持的增長公司組成。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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