The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals SZSE:002294) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 84% Over That Period
The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals SZSE:002294) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 84% Over That Period
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002294) shareholders have enjoyed a 70% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 25% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 2.3% in the last year, including dividends.
当我们投资时,通常是寻找那些表现超过市场平均水平的股票。 买入被低估的业务是获得超额收益的一种方式。 例如,长线投资者在信立泰(SZSE:002294)的股东在过去五年中享受了70%的股价上涨,远远超过了市场回报的大约25%(不包括分红派息)。 然而,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,股票在过去一年中的回报仅为2.3%,包括分红派息。
Although Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals has shed CN¥1.4b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
尽管信立泰本周市值蒸发了14亿人民币,但我们还是来看看其长期的基本趋势,并看看这些是否驱动了回报。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的不仅仅是企业的基本业绩,还有投资者的情绪。一个不完美但简单的方式来考虑公司市场意识的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的变化。
Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals' earnings per share are down 11% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管过去五年股价表现强劲,但信立泰的每股收益每年下降11%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
实际上,投资者似乎并没有关注EPS。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。
The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue reduction of 1.2% per year is not a positive. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.
1.6%的分红派息收益率不太可能支撑股价。每年营业收入减少1.2%并不是好事。因此,似乎需要更仔细地观察每股收益和营业收入的趋势,以了解它们可能如何影响股价。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241112/0-52a3529e9a22b807147cce669f01347b-0-2fbda5610cdbf11c97938631e59cfeeb.png/big)
We know that Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我们知道信立泰在过去三年中改善了其底线,但未来将会怎样呢?您可以在这个免费的互动图形中看到其资产负债表随时间的变化(加强或削弱)。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals, it has a TSR of 84% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。而股价回报只反映股价的变化,总股东回报则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或剥离所带来的收益。因此,对于那些支付慷慨分红的公司,总股东回报往往比股价回报高得多。在信立泰的案例中,过去5年的TSR为84%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。因此,公司的分红提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals shareholders gained a total return of 2.3% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 13% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
信立泰股东在这一年里获得了总回报2.3%。但这一回报低于市场水平。好消息是,长期回报(每年约13%,超过五年)看起来更好。由于市场的持续积极反馈,这可能是一项值得关注的业务。跟踪长期的股票价格表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解信立泰,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了信立泰的两个警告信号(其中一个可能是严重的!),在这里投资之前你应该了解这一点。
Of course Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,信立泰可能不是最好的买入股票。所以你可能想看看这份免费的成长股合集。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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