Despite an already strong run, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000987) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.
Although its price has surged higher, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 37x and even P/E's higher than 73x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 2.4% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.1% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.