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There's Reason For Concern Over Western Securities Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002673) Massive 28% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 11 19:26

Western Securities Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002673) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 56% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Western SecuritiesLtd may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 46.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 36x and even P/E's lower than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

The earnings growth achieved at Western SecuritiesLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:002673 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Western SecuritiesLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Western SecuritiesLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 19% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Western SecuritiesLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Western SecuritiesLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Western SecuritiesLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Western SecuritiesLtd you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Western SecuritiesLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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