350, 6000, 44000, 88000 - do you know the meanings of these sequences of numbers? They represent Tesla, S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones, and the integer positions that Bitcoin broke through yesterday.
Caixin November 12 news (Editor Xiaoxiang) 350, 6000, 44000, 88000 - do you know the meanings of these sequences of numbers?
If you are a global market investor and have personally experienced the market trends across asset classes on Monday, then at this moment, you must already be associating the meanings behind these sets of numbers.
350 (USD) was the closing price of Tesla last night - this Monday, the global electric vehicle leader has risen by another 9%. Since the U.S. election voting on November 5, Tesla's stock price has cumulatively risen by over 39%, increasing the company's market cap by over 300 billion USD. With investors believing that Trump's presidency will bring great benefits to Musk's electric car manufacturer, the rapid shift in market sentiment has also rapidly generated a snowball effect on the stock's rise.
6000 points and 44000 points were the closing historical milestones that the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones crossed for the first time last night. Trump's victory not only favored some typical Trump concept stocks, but also had a noticeable push effect on the overall U.S. stock market. Market expectations are that his tax cuts and relaxed financial regulations may further stimulate the 'animal spirits' in the market. Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, wrote in a report on Monday, 'The Republicans' decisive victory has ignited the 'animal spirits,' even though expectations were already high.'
(S&P 500 Index hits the 51st new historical closing high of the year)
Lastly, the number 88000 (USD), which is double that of 44000, is the integer milestone that Bitcoin broke through last night. The support stance of U.S. President-elect Trump on digital assets, along with many congressmen supporting the prospects of cryptocurrencies, collectively propelled Bitcoin to break through this significant integer boundary for the first time. In fact, starting from Election Day on November 5, Bitcoin has consecutively broken through 14 significant integer boundaries (measured in thousands of USD) in just a few trading days.
Barclays' Europe Stock Strategy Director Emmanuel Cau stated, 'We continue to see people eager to join the Trump trading as soon as possible.'
Mabrouk Chetouane, Global Market Strategy Director at French Foreign Trade Bank Investment Management Firm, said that the performance of cryptos and other so-called 'Donald Trump trades' indicates that people are increasingly expecting the former president to take a lenient regulatory approach during his second term.
He stated, 'Even if trade protectionist measures are further strengthened, investors are still willing to take risks.' He was referring to Trump's plan to significantly increase tariffs on U.S. imports.
It is worth noting that even though the trends in the forex and bond markets have not seen the same breakthroughs as the stock and crypto markets in terms of round numbers, the 'Donald Trump trades' in these two vast markets have continued at the beginning of this week.
Trump's decisive victory has prompted traders to price in the incoming president's tax cuts and tariff promises, which boosted the dollar and led to selling of U.S. government bonds.
The US dollar index closed at 105.51 in the New York session on Monday, rising sharply by 0.48% in a single day, hitting a peak of 105.70 since July. In contrast, the euro against the dollar fell to its lowest level in nearly seven months on Monday as investors feared that the new White House administration might impose tariffs, potentially harming the eurozone economy. Since Trump's win in the U.S. presidential election last week, which fueled concerns about the new government possibly imposing tariffs, the euro and other non-dollar currencies have been declining.
The U.S. Treasury cash market was closed on Monday for Veterans Day, but the futures market still showed significant selling pressure. By 3:30 pm New York time on Monday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury futures fell by about 11 points, implying a yield level of around 4.35%. If this level is maintained when the Asian markets open for trading on Tuesday, it means the 10-year bond yield will be approximately 5 basis points higher than Friday's closing.
In their report on Monday, lpl financial's strategy team wrote, 'Positive economic data, Fed might be too dovish, and more policy details released by the Trump administration could all push up bond yields. Only in the event of negative economic surprises will yields significantly drop from their current levels.'
In any case, it can be foreseen that as the Trump team begins discussions on the specific nominees for the cabinet after the election, and continues to attract the attention of market participants, a series of 'Donald Trump trades' momentum may still persist for some time in the short term.
Of course, Chris Larkin, head of E*Trade platform under Morgan Stanley, also pointed out that with the US election and another rate cut becoming history, the question is whether the bulls can continue to drive the market to new highs.
Larkin believes, "Apart from potential profit-taking that may occur after such a strong rally, this Wednesday's US inflation data may also determine whether the market can hold onto its gains."