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Optimistic Investors Push Guangdong Enpack Packaging Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002846) Shares Up 37% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 13 06:05

The Guangdong Enpack Packaging Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002846) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Enpack Packaging's P/S ratio of 2.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Packaging industry in China is about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SZSE:002846 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2024

How Has Guangdong Enpack Packaging Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Guangdong Enpack Packaging, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Enpack Packaging, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Enpack Packaging's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.6%. Revenue has also lifted 12% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Guangdong Enpack Packaging's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Enpack Packaging's P/S?

Guangdong Enpack Packaging appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Guangdong Enpack Packaging revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Enpack Packaging (including 2 which are a bit concerning).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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