New Huadu Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002264) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 38x, you may still consider New Huadu Technology as an attractive investment with its 19.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for New Huadu Technology as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
How Is New Huadu Technology's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, New Huadu Technology would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 123% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 177% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 33% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 40% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that New Huadu Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From New Huadu Technology's P/E?
New Huadu Technology's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of New Huadu Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with New Huadu Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than New Huadu Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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