Optimism for ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) (SZSE:000011) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) (SZSE:000011) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) Ltd. (SZSE:000011) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 15% over five years, which is below the market return. However, if you include the dividends then the return is market beating. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 10%.
當您長期買入並持有一隻股票時,您肯定希望它能給您帶來正回報。此外,您通常希望看到股價的上漲速度超過市場。但是深圳市投資控股集團股份有限公司 (SZSE:000011) 沒能達到第二個目標,股價在過去五年內僅上漲了15%,低於市場回報。然而,如果考慮到分紅派息,回報就超過了市場水平。僅看過去一年,這隻股票上漲了10%。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去一週對於深圳市投資控股集團的股東來說收益豐厚,因此讓我們看看是否基本面推動了該公司的五年表現。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) actually saw its EPS drop 20% per year.
在五年的股價增長期間,深圳市投資控股集團實際上看到其每股收益每年下降20%。
Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由於每股收益大幅下滑,市場參與者看待公司的價值不可能僅僅考慮每股收益。下跌的每股收益與上漲的股價並不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
It is not great to see that revenue has dropped by 11% per year over five years. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.
五年來每年營業收入下降11%,這種情況似乎需要更仔細地觀察盈利和營收趨勢,看看它們如何可能影響股價。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方圖片中看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看準確數值)。

This free interactive report on ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group)'s balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想進一步調查該股票,深圳房地產與資源發展(集團)的財務狀況強度,這份免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group), it has a TSR of 41% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR 包括了股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣的增資或分拆的好處。可以說,TSR 給出了一種更全面的股票回報圖景。在深圳房地產與資源發展(集團)的情況下,過去5年的TSR爲41%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's nice to see that ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 15% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) (2 are significant) that you should be aware of.
很高興看到深圳產業資產發展(集團)的股東在過去一年裏獲得了總股東回報率爲15%。而這已經包括了股息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年7%),這似乎表明該股票的表現近期有所提升。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,暗示現在可能是深入了解的好時機。我覺得長期審視股價作爲業績的代理很有趣。但要真正獲得深入見解,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定了深圳產業資產發展(集團)存在3個警示信號(其中2個很重要),你應該注意。
Of course ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,深圳產業資產發展(集團)可能不是最好的股票選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。