These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Highpower Technology (SZSE:001283) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Highpower Technology (SZSE:001283) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shenzhen Highpower Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001283) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過:'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡關注它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過多可能會導致破產。我們可以看到,深圳高功率科技有限公司(SZSE:001283)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其債務使用呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當債務和其他負債對一家企業來說難以便捷地履行那些義務,無論是通過自由現金流還是以優惠價格發行股本來履行時,其就會面臨風險。最終,如果該公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能一分錢都拿不到。但更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價發行新股權,從而永久地稀釋股東的權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司合理地管理其債務,並以自身的利益爲前提。當我們思考一家公司的債務使用時,首先要關注現金和債務。
What Is Shenzhen Highpower Technology's Debt?
深圳高功率科技的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shenzhen Highpower Technology had CN¥2.30b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.20b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥1.16b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.14b.
您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年9月,深圳高功率科技的債務爲23億人民幣,較一年前的12億人民幣有所增加。然而,它的現金也達到了11.6億人民幣,因此其淨債務爲11.4億人民幣。

How Strong Is Shenzhen Highpower Technology's Balance Sheet?
深圳高功率科技的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Highpower Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.13b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.21b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.16b in cash and CN¥1.83b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.35b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到深圳高功率科技在12個月內的負債爲41.3億人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲22.1億人民幣。抵消這部分,企業在現金和短期應收賬款中分別有11.6億和18.3億人民幣,均在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出33.5億人民幣。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.00b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
這筆槓桿相對於其40億人民幣的市值來說可謂龐大。如果貸款方要求其加強資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
While Shenzhen Highpower Technology's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Shenzhen Highpower Technology grew its EBIT a smooth 66% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Highpower Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
雖然深圳高功率科技的債務與EBITDA比率(3.7)表明它使用了一些債務,但其利息覆蓋率非常弱,僅爲1.4,這暗示着高槓杆。看起來企業承擔了巨額的折舊和攤銷費用,因此它的債務負擔可能比初看上去的重,因爲EBITDA可以說是對收益的寬鬆衡量。很明顯,借款的成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。好消息是,深圳高功率科技在過去12個月中EBIT增長平穩,達到了66%。就像母親對新生兒愛的懷抱,這種增長培養了韌性,使公司能夠更強有力地管理其債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但未來的收益比任何因素都更能判斷深圳高功率科技在未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,了解分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shenzhen Highpower Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,一家公司只能用現金來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,值得檢查一下EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去三年中,深圳高能時代科技燒掉了很多現金。雖然投資者無疑期待這種情況在適當的時候會逆轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更具風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Shenzhen Highpower Technology's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Shenzhen Highpower Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Highpower Technology (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地說,深圳高能時代科技的利息保障率以及將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的記錄使我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但好的一面是,其EBIT增長率是一個好跡象,讓我們更加樂觀。總體來看,我們認爲可以公平地說,深圳高能時代科技的債務足夠高,因此資產負債表周圍存在一些實際風險。如果一切順利,這可能會帶來回報,但這筆債務的缺點是存在更大永久性損失的風險。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已識別出深圳高能時代科技的三個警告信號(至少有兩個令人擔憂),理解這些信號應成爲您投資過程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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