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Ellington Credit Company Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results

Businesswire ·  Nov 13 08:00

OLD GREENWICH, Conn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ellington Credit Company (NYSE: EARN) ("we", "us," or "our") today reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024.



Highlights

  • Net income (loss) of $5.4 million, or $0.21 per share.
  • Adjusted Distributable Earnings1 of $7.2 million, or $0.28 per share.
  • Book value of $6.85 per share as of September 30, 2024, which includes the effects of dividends of $0.24 per share for the quarter.
  • Net interest margin2 of 9.65% on credit, 3.52% on Agency, and 5.22% overall.
  • CLO portfolio increased to $144.5 million as of September 30, 2024, as compared to $85.1 million as of June 30, 2024.
  • Capital allocation3 to corporate CLOs was 58% as of September 30, 2024 as compared to 45% as of June 30, 2024.
  • Weighted average constant prepayment rate ("CPR") for the fixed-rate Agency specified pool portfolio of 7.54.
  • Net mortgage assets-to-equity ratio of 3.0:15 as of September 30, 2024.
  • Dividend yield of 14.5% based on the November 8, 2024 closing stock price of $6.62, and monthly dividend of $0.08 per common share declared on November 7, 2024.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.5:1 as of September 30, 2024.
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $25.7 million as of September 30, 2024, in addition to other unencumbered assets of $95.8 million.

Third Quarter 2024 Results

"Our results in the third quarter reflect excellent performance from our CLO debt portfolio, where robust loan prepayments continued to trigger deleveraging in our seasoned mezzanine positions, and where low default rates boosted demand for junior mezzanine tranches, which drove yield spreads tighter. We also enhanced returns in this portfolio through opportunistic trading and by driving the liquidation of a CLO where we owned discount mezzanine debt. In our CLO equity portfolio, we had positive performance that was also enhanced by opportunistic trading as well as our completion of two deal refinancings. Finally, we had positive performance from our remaining RMBS investments as well, and our overall annualized economic return for the quarter was 10.8%," said Laurence Penn, Chief Executive Officer and President.

"As with prior quarters, our ongoing shift to CLOs continued to lower our leverage ratios. The wide net interest margins on our CLOs enabled our adjusted distributable earnings to continue to cover our dividends during the quarter, even as we terminated, in conjunction with selling agency pools, several interest rate swap hedging positions that had been supporting ADE, and even as our leverage declined significantly.

"As we look to the remainder of the year, we currently see better relative value and ample opportunities in CLO equity, where tighter debt spreads are improving economics for both new and existing deals. In addition, continued heavy issuance in the CLO market is creating inefficiencies and relative value opportunities in both the CLO debt and the CLO equity markets. Given our strong systems and deep experience in both primary and secondary markets, EARN is well positioned to capitalize on these inefficiencies."

Strategic Transformation Update

On March 29, 2024, our Board of Trustees approved a strategic transformation of our investment strategy to focus on corporate CLOs, with an emphasis on mezzanine debt and equity tranches. In connection with this transformation, we revoked our election to be taxed as a REIT effective January 1, 2024, rebranded as Ellington Credit Company, and updated our web address to . We continue to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange under our ticker symbol EARN.

In connection with our annual meeting later this year, on August 16, 2024 we filed a definitive proxy statement (as amended, supplemented or otherwise modified from to time, the "Proxy Statement") that includes proposals on certain matters related to the strategic transformation (the "Conversion Proposals"). On October 1 and October 23, 2024, we filed amendments to the Proxy Statement with supplemental information about the Conversion Proposals. The leading independent proxy advisory firms, ISS and Glass Lewis, along with our Board of Trustees, recommend that EARN's shareholders vote "FOR" the Conversion Proposals. Subject to such shareholder approval, we intend to convert to a closed-end fund registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "1940 Act") that would be treated as a regulated investment company ("RIC") under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, and complete our transition from an MBS-focused company to a CLO-focused company.

In the meantime, we are operating as a taxable C-Corp and taking advantage of our significant existing net operating loss carryforwards to offset the majority of any U.S. federal taxable income we may generate pending our conversion to a closed-end fund/RIC. During this interim phase, we continue to hold a core portfolio of liquid Agency MBS pools to maintain our exemption from the 1940 Act. Once we convert to a closed-end fund/RIC, we would generally not be subject to corporate tax.

During the third quarter, we increased the size of the CLO portfolio to $144.5 million, from $85.1 million as of the prior quarter end.

Financial Results

The following table summarizes our portfolio of long investments as of September 30, 2024 and June 30, 2024:

September 30, 2024

June 30, 2024

($ in thousands)

Current Principal

Fair Value

Average Price(1)

Cost

Average Cost(1)

Current Principal

Fair Value

Average Price(1)

Cost

Average Cost(1)

Credit Portfolio:

Dollar Denominated:

CLOs

CLO Notes

$

63,090

$

52,892

83.84

$

52,800

83.69

$

46,314

$

37,225

80.38

$

37,108

80.12

CLO Equity

n/a

66,518

n/a

69,188

n/a

n/a

33,228

n/a

34,779

n/a

Total Dollar Denominated CLOs

119,410

121,988

70,453

71,887

Corporate Debt

1,222

391

32.00

372

30.44

Corporate Equity

n/a

30

n/a

43

n/a

n/a

32

n/a

43

n/a

Non-Agency RMBS(2)

9,343

9,448

101.12

7,844

83.96

9,461

9,463

100.02

7,943

83.96

Non-Agency IOs

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

8,328

n/a

6,182

n/a

Total Dollar Denominated Credit

129,279

130,247

88,276

86,055

Non-Dollar Denominated:

CLOs:

CLO Notes

17,555

16,818

95.80

16,173

92.13

8,431

7,874

93.39

7,800

92.52

CLO Equity

n/a

8,258

n/a

8,394

n/a

n/a

6,761

n/a

7,056

n/a

Total non-Dollar Denominated CLOs

25,076

24,567

14,635

14,856

Total Credit

154,355

154,814

102,911

100,911

Agency Portfolio:

Dollar Denominated:

Agency RMBS(2)

15-year fixed-rate mortgages

4,115

4,084

99.25

4,158

101.04

30-year fixed-rate mortgages

461,682

462,112

100.09

454,370

98.42

548,497

526,985

96.08

538,451

98.17

Reverse mortgages

34

34

100.00

37

108.82

34

33

97.06

37

108.82

Total Agency RMBS

461,716

462,146

100.09

454,407

98.42

552,646

531,102

96.10

542,646

98.19

Agency IOs

n/a

1,870

n/a

1,583

n/a

n/a

2,355

n/a

1,985

n/a

Total Agency

464,016

455,990

533,457

544,631

U.S. Treasury securities

425

426

100.24

426

100.24

Total

$

618,797

$

611,230

$

636,368

$

645,542

  1. Expressed as a percentage of current principal balance.
  2. Excludes IOs.

During the third quarter, the size of our CLO holdings increased by 70% to $144.5 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $85.1 million as of June 30, 2024, as we continued to rotate investment capital into CLOs. As of September 30, 2024, our CLO portfolio consisted of $74.8 million of CLO equity tranches, of which $66.5 million were dollar-denominated and $8.3 million were non-dollar denominated; and $69.7 million of CLO notes, specifically mezzanine debt tranches, of which $52.9 million were dollar-denominated and $16.8 million were non-dollar denominated. We expect our CLO holdings to continue to be a blend of CLO equity and CLO debt investments, with the capital allocations fluctuating over time based on market opportunities. In addition, we intend to continue to invest in both dollar-denominated and non-dollar denominated CLO investments, based on relative value opportunities, but expect the majority of our CLO investments will continue to be dollar-denominated.

Also during the quarter, the size of our Agency RMBS holdings decreased by 13% to $462.1 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $531.1 million as of June 30, 2024, as we continued to net sell Agency RMBS. Costs to liquidate our Agency RMBS continue to be low. Meanwhile, our aggregate holdings of interest-only securities and non-Agency RMBS decreased by 44% quarter over quarter to $11.3 million.

Our debt-to-equity ratio, adjusted for unsettled purchases and sales, decreased to 2.5:1 as of September 30, 2024, as compared to 3.7:1 as of June 30, 2024. The decline was driven by higher shareholders' equity and less leverage on our CLO investments, which constituted a significantly larger proportion of our overall portfolio as of September 30, 2024, compared to June 30, 2024. Our net mortgage assets-to-equity ratio also decreased over the same period, to 3.0:1 from 4.0:1, driven by the increase in shareholders' equity and a smaller Agency RMBS portfolio, partially offset by a larger net long TBA position as of September 30, 2024.

During the quarter, we continued to hedge interest rate risk through the use of interest rate swaps and short positions in U.S. Treasury securities and futures. We ended the quarter with a net long TBA position. We also selectively hedge the credit risk of our corporate CLO and non-Agency RMBS investments; as of September 30, 2024, our credit hedge portfolio was relatively small.

In the third quarter, the net interest margin on our credit portfolio was 9.65%, as compared to 13.41% in the second quarter and 9.65% in the first quarter. The higher net interest margin in the second quarter had been the result of accelerated prepayments on the loans underlying several discounted CLO positions, which resulted in high payoff activity and increased asset yields for those CLO positions. Prepayment activity was less significant in the third quarter in our portfolio, which drove asset yields and NIM in the credit portfolio more in line with first quarter results. The net interest margin on our Agency portfolio, on the other hand, increased to 3.52% from 2.85% over the same period, driven by higher asset yields and a lower cost of funds. Our cost of funds and net interest margin continued to benefit from positive carry on our interest rate swaps, where we receive a higher floating rate and pay a lower fixed rate. Our overall net interest margin increased to 5.22% as of September 30, 2024, as compared to 4.24% as of June 30, 2024, which reflected a higher allocation of capital to the credit strategy and the higher NIM on our Agency portfolio.

Despite the increased NIM overall, our adjusted distributable earnings declined primarily due to (i) significantly lower leverage quarter over quarter, and (ii) the termination during the quarter, in conjunction with the sale of Agency pools, of interest rate swap hedging positions that were initiated in lower interest rate environments. Despite the decline, our adjusted distributable earnings continued to exceed our dividends paid in the third quarter.

The following table summarizes our operating results by strategy for the three-month periods ended September 30, 2024 and June 30, 2024:

Three-Month Period Ended September 30, 2024

Per Share

Three-Month Period Ended June 30, 2024

Per Share

(In thousands, except share amounts and per share amounts)

Credit:

CLOs

Interest income

$

4,388

$

0.17

$

3,519

$

0.18

Interest expense

(506)

(0.02)

(350)

(0.02)

Realized gain (loss), net

399

0.02

482

0.02

Unrealized gain (loss), net

(1,187)

(0.05)

(2,644)

(0.13)

Credit hedges and other activities, net(1)

(19)

39

Total CLO profit (loss)

3,075

0.12

1,046

0.05

Non-Agency RMBS(2)

Interest income

473

0.02

528

0.03

Interest expense

(132)

(0.01)

(278)

(0.01)

Realized gain (loss), net

2,531

0.10

1,424

0.07

Unrealized gain (loss), net

(2,062)

(0.08)

(959)

(0.05)

Interest rate hedges

(33)

7

Total Non-Agency RMBS profit (loss)

777

0.03

722

0.04

Total Credit profit (loss)

3,852

0.15

1,768

0.09

Agency RMBS(2):

Interest income

6,851

0.27

8,337

0.41

Interest expense

(6,651)

(0.26)

(8,163)

(0.40)

Realized gain (loss), net

(3,730)

(0.15)

(9,851)

(0.48)

Unrealized gain (loss), net

19,199

0.75

4,892

0.24

Interest rate hedges and other activities, net(3)

(11,216)

(0.44)

3,850

0.18

Total Agency RMBS profit (loss)

4,453

0.17

(935)

(0.05)

Total Credit and Agency RMBS profit (loss)

8,305

0.32

833

0.04

Other interest income (expense), net

328

0.01

441

0.02

Income tax (expense) benefit

(463)

(0.02)

75

General and administrative expenses

(2,725)

(0.10)

(2,164)

(0.10)

Net income (loss)

$

5,445

$

0.21

$

(815)

$

(0.04)

Weighted average shares outstanding

25,591,607

20,354,062

  1. Other activities includes currency hedges as well as net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on foreign currency.
  2. Includes IOs.
  3. Includes U.S. Treasury securities.

CLO Performance

In the third quarter, the U.S. CLO market benefited from strengthening loan fundamentals, robust demand for leveraged loans, and the anticipation of an interest rate cutting cycle. The trailing-twelve-month default rate for the Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index declined to 78 basis points in August, its lowest level since December 2022, and finished the quarter at just 80 basis points; meanwhile, prepayment rates continued to increase during the quarter. Tightening credit spreads and lower interest rates supported strong corporate loan issuance during the quarter. However, net CLO issuance in the U.S. was negative overall for the quarter as a result of the combined impact of elevated refinancing and reset volumes and many seasoned CLOs being called. Similarly in Europe, the default rate for the Morningstar LSTA EU Leveraged Loan Index also declined to 78 basis points in August, its lowest level since May 2023, and finished the quarter at just 79 basis points. However, in contrast with U.S leveraged loans, prepayment rates on the Morningstar LSTA EU Leveraged Loan Index decreased slightly quarter over quarter.

In the U.S., the declining default rates contributed to higher demand for CLO debt and equity, and along with the negative net issuance, drove CLO mezzanine spreads generally tighter during the quarter. In addition, high prepayment rates continued to drive deleveraging in seasoned CLOs. On the other hand, with investors wary of lower-quality loan portfolios, debt spreads widened for certain CLOs with greater exposure to such assets. In Europe, elevated demand and lower default rates also drove CLO mezzanine spreads tighter; however, with prepayment rates on European leveraged loans declining, seasoned European CLO mezzanine tranches experienced less deal deleveraging relative to U.S. CLOs.

Similar to the prior quarter, performance for U.S. CLO equity was mixed during the third quarter. On the one hand, tightening debt spreads allowed some deals to refinance their debt or reset their debt (which also included extensions of reinvestment periods), which drove strong returns for CLO equity in deals with better-performing portfolios and higher debt costs. However, higher prepayment speeds in the loan market led to both price declines for loans trading above par and compression in loan floating rate spreads, as large volumes of loans trading at premiums to par were refinanced at par and replaced with lower-spread loans; these effects triggered mark-to-market losses in some CLO equity profiles as both their interest payments (due to lower excess interest in the CLO) and underlying asset values declined in tandem. We saw a similar dynamic in Europe, although with slower prepayment speeds, the negative impact of the prepayment of premium loans was less pronounced.

Our CLO strategy had strong results for the quarter, led by higher net interest income quarter over quarter and net gains in our U.S. and European CLO debt portfolios, supported by both opportunistic sales and tighter credit spreads on held positions. We also benefited from positive performance from our U.S. and European CLO equity portfolios, where net interest income exceeded net realized and unrealized losses.

Non-Agency Performance

Our non-Agency RMBS portfolio and interest-only securities generated positive results for the quarter, driven by net interest income and net gains associated with several profitable sales.

Agency Performance

In the third quarter, interest rates fell, the yield curve steepened, and Agency MBS yield spreads tightened as the market anticipated the beginning of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle. In September the Federal Reserve reduced the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points and also released updated economic projections that implied another 50 basis points of interest rate cuts later in 2024. Overall for the third quarter, the U.S. Agency MBS Index generated an excess return of 0.76%. Against this backdrop, EARN's remaining Agency portfolio generated positive results for the quarter, as net gains on our Agency RMBS exceeded net losses on our interest rate hedges, which were driven by declining interest rates.

Average pay-ups on our specified pool portfolio decreased to 0.25% as of September 30, 2024, as compared to 0.63% as of June 30, 2024.

General and Administrative Expenses

General and administrative expenses were higher quarter over quarter due to expenses incurred related to the strategic transformation. Management fees were also higher quarter over quarter, driven by higher shareholders' equity at quarter end.

About Ellington Credit Company

Ellington Credit Company (the "Company"), formerly known as Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT, was initially formed as a real estate investment trust ("REIT") that invested primarily in residential mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"). On March 29, 2024, the Company's Board of Trustees approved a strategic transformation of the Company's investment strategy to focus on corporate CLOs, with an emphasis on mezzanine debt and equity tranches. In connection with this transformation, the Company revoked its election to be taxed as a REIT effective January 1, 2024, and rebranded as Ellington Credit Company. Later in 2024, the Company intends, subject to shareholder approval of certain matters, to convert to a closed-end fund and complete its transition from an MBS-focused company to a CLO-focused company.

Conference Call

We will host a conference call at 1:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, November 13, 2024 to discuss our financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. To participate in the event by telephone, please dial (800) 225-9448 at least 10 minutes prior to the start time and reference the conference ID: EARNQ324. International callers should dial (203) 518-9708 and reference the same conference ID. The conference call will also be webcast live over the Internet and can be accessed via the "For Investors" section of our web site at . To listen to the live webcast, please visit at least 15 minutes prior to the start of the call to register, download, and install necessary audio software. In connection with the release of these financial results, we also posted an investor presentation, that will accompany the conference call, on our website at under "For Investors—Presentations."

A dial-in replay of the conference call will be available on Wednesday, November 13, 2024, at approximately 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time through Wednesday, November 20, 2024 at approximately 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time. To access this replay, please dial (800) 925-9941. International callers should dial (402) 220-5395. A replay of the conference call will also be archived on our web site at .

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs, assumptions and expectations of our future operations, business strategies, performance, financial condition, liquidity and prospects, taking into account information currently available to us. These beliefs, assumptions, and expectations are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties and can change as a result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to us. If a change occurs, our business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations and strategies may vary materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements or from our beliefs, expectations, estimates and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "project," "plan," "continue," "intend," "should," "would," "could," "goal," "objective," "will," "may," "seek," or similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. The following factors are examples of those that could cause actual results to vary from those stated or implied by our forward-looking statements: changes in interest rates and the market value of our investments, market volatility, changes in mortgage default rates and prepayment rates, our ability to borrow to finance our assets, our ability to pivot our investment strategy to focus on CLOs, a deterioration in the CLO market, our ability to utilize our NOLs, our ability to convert to a closed end fund/RIC, including our ability to obtain shareholder approval of certain matters related to such conversion, changes in government regulations affecting our business, our ability to maintain our exclusion from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940, and other changes in market conditions and economic trends, such as changes to fiscal or monetary policy, heightened inflation, slower growth or recession, and currency fluctuations. Furthermore, as stated above, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described under Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K, which can be accessed through the link to our SEC filings under "For Investors" on our website (at ) or at the SEC's website (www.sec.gov). Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied may be described from time to time in reports we file with the SEC, including reports on Forms 10-Q, 10-K, and 8-K.


Contacts

Investors:
Ellington Credit Company
Investor Relations
(203) 409-3773
info@ellingtoncredit.com
or
Media:
Amanda Shpiner/Grace Cartwright
Gasthalter & Co.
for Ellington Credit Company
(212) 257-4170
Ellington@gasthalter.com


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