Element Solutions Inc's (NYSE:ESI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 19x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Element Solutions certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Growth For Element Solutions?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Element Solutions would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 422%. EPS has also lifted 19% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 15% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 15%.
With this information, we find it concerning that Element Solutions is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Element Solutions' P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Element Solutions currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Element Solutions you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Element Solutions' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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