Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Unsurprisingly, Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (NYSE:TPL) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.
毫不奇怪,德克萨斯太平洋土地公司(纽交所:TPL)的股价在其健康的财报支撑下走强。然而,我们认为股东们可能错过了一些令人担忧的数字细节。
Zooming In On Texas Pacific Land's Earnings
聚焦德克萨斯太平洋土地的盈利
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Texas Pacific Land recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$334m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of US$448.7m. Texas Pacific Land shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for Texas Pacific Land shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
在截至2024年9月的十二个月内,德克萨斯太平洋土地的计提比率为0.28。因此我们可以推断其自由现金流远未能覆盖其法定利润。换句话说,在该期间,它的自由现金流为33400万美元,远远不足其报告的利润44870万美元。德克萨斯太平洋土地的股东们无疑希望其自由现金流在明年反弹,因为过去十二个月它有所下降。德克萨斯太平洋土地股东们的一个积极因素是,去年其计提比率明显改善,这使人有理由相信它可能会将来回到更强劲的现金转换。如果情况确实如此,股东们应寻找本年度的现金流相对于利润的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Texas Pacific Land.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看我们对德克萨斯太平洋土地资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Texas Pacific Land's Profit Performance
我们对texas pacific land的盈利表现持乐观态度
Texas Pacific Land's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Texas Pacific Land's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Texas Pacific Land, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Texas Pacific Land you should know about.
过去十二个月的texas pacific land的计提比率表明现金转化不尽如人意,这在我们看来对其盈利状况是不利的。因此,我们认为texas pacific land的法定利润可能优于其潜在盈利能力。但好消息是,过去三年其每股收益增长非常惊人。当然,在分析其盈利方面我们只是挖掘了表面一点;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长以及投资回报率等其他因素。如果想深入分析texas pacific land,还可进一步了解目前面临的风险。每家公司都存在风险,我们已经发现texas pacific land存在一个警示信号,您应了解一下。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Texas Pacific Land's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我们细读了一个单一数据点,以更好了解texas pacific land的盈利本质。但如果您能专注于细节,总能发现更多。例如,许多人认为高净资产收益率表明良好的商业经济状况,而其他人喜欢“跟着资金走”并寻找内部人员正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您做些研究,但您可能会发现这些拥有高净资产收益率的公司的免费收藏,或者具有重要内部持股的股票清单会有所帮助。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。