Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Micron Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MU) Mixed Fundamentals?
Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Micron Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MU) Mixed Fundamentals?
Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) has had a rough week with its share price down 11%. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Micron Technology's ROE in this article.
美光科技(纳斯达克股票代码:MU)经历了艰难的一周,其股价下跌了11%。看来市场可能完全忽视了公司基本面的积极方面,并决定更多地考虑负面方面。股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,因此我们决定更多地关注公司的财务业绩。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究美光科技的投资回报率。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键衡量标准。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
你如何计算股本回报率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
ROE 可以通过使用以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Micron Technology is:
因此,根据上述公式,美光科技的投资回报率为:
1.7% = US$778m ÷ US$45b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).
1.7% = 7.78亿美元 ÷ 450亿美元(基于截至2024年8月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.02 in profit.
“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每获得价值1美元的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.02美元的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。
Micron Technology's Earnings Growth And 1.7% ROE
美光科技的收益增长和1.7%的投资回报率
It is hard to argue that Micron Technology's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 12%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 32% seen by Micron Technology was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很难说美光科技的投资回报率本身就非常好。不仅如此,即使与行业平均水平的12%相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,说美光科技五年净收入下降32%可能是其投资回报率降低所致,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。
That being said, we compared Micron Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 21% in the same 5-year period.
话虽如此,我们将美光科技的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期的5年内收益以21%的速度增长时,我们对此感到担忧。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for MU? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。市场是否为MU的未来前景进行了定价?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。
Is Micron Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
美光科技能否有效利用其利润?
When we piece together Micron Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 1.9% (where it is retaining 98% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
当我们计算出美光科技过去三年来最低的三年派息率中位数1.9%(保留了98%的利润)时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。低支出应意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会出现一些增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。
Additionally, Micron Technology has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 5.0% over the next three years. However, Micron Technology's future ROE is expected to rise to 16% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.
此外,美光科技已在三年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。从目前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看到,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至5.0%。但是,尽管美光科技的派息率预计将提高,但其未来的投资回报率预计将升至16%。我们推断,可能还有其他因素可以推动公司投资回报率的预期增长。
Summary
摘要
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Micron Technology can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
总的来说,我们认为美光科技表现出的表现可以有多种解释。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件给编辑组(网址为)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。