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What Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000679) 33% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 14 17:13

Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Dalian Friendship (Group) is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have P/S ratios below 1.9x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:000679 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024

What Does Dalian Friendship (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

The recent revenue growth at Dalian Friendship (Group) would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dalian Friendship (Group) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dalian Friendship (Group)'s to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.7%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 16% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Dalian Friendship (Group) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Dalian Friendship (Group) with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Dalian Friendship (Group)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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