Does Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600309) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
当David Iben说'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失'时,他确实表达得很好。 当您分析一家公司的风险时,考虑到负债往往会在业务崩溃时涉及,查看公司的资产负债表是很自然的。重要的是,万华化学集团有限公司(SHSE:600309)确实存在负债。但股东们是否应该担心它使用债务?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还的时候才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是利用自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东利益,以强化其资产负债表。尽管会进行稀释,债务对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说可能是一种非常好的工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does Wanhua Chemical Group Carry?
万华化学集团承担多少债务?
As you can see below, Wanhua Chemical Group had CN¥121.1b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥41.2b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥79.9b.
正如您可以在下文看到的,截至2024年9月,万华化学集团的债务为1211亿人民币,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表以获取更详细信息。然而,由于其拥有412亿人民币的现金储备,其净债务较少,大约为799亿人民币。

How Strong Is Wanhua Chemical Group's Balance Sheet?
万华化学集团的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wanhua Chemical Group had liabilities of CN¥139.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥68.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥41.2b in cash and CN¥18.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥148.7b.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,万华化学集团的一年内到期负债为1394亿人民币,之后会到期的负债为687亿人民币。与此相抵,它拥有412亿人民币的现金和181亿人民币的应收账款,这些在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和1487亿人民币。
This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of CN¥245.1b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Wanhua Chemical Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相对于其非常显著的市值2451亿人民币,这个赤字相当可观,因此建议股东们密切关注万华化学集团的债务使用情况。这表明,如果公司需要迅速强化资产负债表,股东们将遭受严重稀释。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
Wanhua Chemical Group's net debt is 2.5 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 16.4 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Wanhua Chemical Group grew its EBIT by 2.4% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wanhua Chemical Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
万华化学集团的净负债为其EBITDA的2.5倍,这是一种相当可观但仍然合理的杠杆比率。然而,其利息覆盖率16.4非常高,表明目前债务的利息支出相当低。万华化学集团在过去一年中的EBIT增长了2.4%。虽然远非令人难以置信,但在偿还债务时是一件好事。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。但最终决定的更重要因素是未来的收益,这将决定万华化学集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会觉得对分析师盈利预测的这份免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Wanhua Chemical Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我们最终的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用未实现的利润偿还债务;它需要现金。因此,值得检查有多少EBIT是由自由现金流支持的。在过去三年中,万华化学集团烧掉了大量现金。虽然这可能是用于增长支出的结果,但这确实使债务更加风险。
Our View
我们的观点
Neither Wanhua Chemical Group's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Wanhua Chemical Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Wanhua Chemical Group you should know about.
万华化学集团将EBIt转变为自由现金流的能力,以及其总负债水平都没有让我们对其承担更多债务的能力产生信恳智能。 但其利率期货却讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并表明了一些弹性。 当我们考虑所有讨论过的因素时,我们认为万华化学集团正在冒一些使用债务的风险。 虽然债务可以提高回报,但我们认为公司目前已经有足够的杠杆。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到有关债务的大部分信息。 然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表内 - 相去甚远。 这些风险可能很难发现。 每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了 2个万华化学集团的警示信号 您应该了解。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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