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Investors More Bullish on Ningbo Construction (SHSE:601789) This Week as Stock Rallies 7.9%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

Investors More Bullish on Ningbo Construction (SHSE:601789) This Week as Stock Rallies 7.9%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

投資者本週對寧波建工(SHSE:601789)更加看好,儘管過去三年的收益趨勢下滑,股價仍上漲了7.9%。
Simply Wall St ·  11/14 18:15

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Ningbo Construction Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601789) shareholders have seen the share price rise 36% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (14%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 8.8%, including dividends.

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the last three years, Ningbo Construction failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 9.1% (annualized).

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

Do you think that shareholders are buying for the 2.5% per annum revenue growth trend? We don't. So truth be told we can't see an easy explanation for the share price action, but perhaps you can...

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SHSE:601789 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 14th 2024

This free interactive report on Ningbo Construction's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Ningbo Construction's TSR for the last 3 years was 45%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Ningbo Construction provided a TSR of 8.8% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 8% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Ningbo Construction better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Ningbo Construction has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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