If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Leyard Optoelectronic (SZSE:300296), so let's see why.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Leyard Optoelectronic, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.005 = CN¥49m ÷ (CN¥14b - CN¥4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Leyard Optoelectronic has an ROCE of 0.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electronic industry average of 5.5%.
In the above chart we have measured Leyard Optoelectronic's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Leyard Optoelectronic .
So How Is Leyard Optoelectronic's ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about Leyard Optoelectronic, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 16%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Leyard Optoelectronic to turn into a multi-bagger.
Our Take On Leyard Optoelectronic's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 16% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for Leyard Optoelectronic that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.