Despite an already strong run, Weichai Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000880) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, Weichai Heavy Machinery may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 72x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Weichai Heavy Machinery has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Weichai Heavy Machinery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Weichai Heavy Machinery's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Weichai Heavy Machinery's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Weichai Heavy Machinery's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Weichai Heavy Machinery's P/E
Weichai Heavy Machinery's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Weichai Heavy Machinery revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Weichai Heavy Machinery you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Weichai Heavy Machinery's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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