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Some Confidence Is Lacking In MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) As Shares Slide 46%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 16 05:34

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the MediaCo Holding Inc. (NASDAQ:MDIA) share price has dived 46% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 100%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MediaCo Holding's P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Media industry in the United States is also close to 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NasdaqCM:MDIA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 16th 2024

What Does MediaCo Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for MediaCo Holding recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on MediaCo Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For MediaCo Holding?

MediaCo Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 3.9% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that MediaCo Holding's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does MediaCo Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following MediaCo Holding's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that MediaCo Holding's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with MediaCo Holding (including 4 which make us uncomfortable).

If you're unsure about the strength of MediaCo Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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