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Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002202) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd.(SZSE:002202)株価は堅調ですが、企業の基本的な部分は不確実です:今後はどうなるのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  11/16 19:55

Most readers would already be aware that Goldwind Science&Technology's (SZSE:002202) stock increased significantly by 37% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Goldwind Science&Technology's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Goldwind Science&Technology is:

4.9% = CN¥2.0b ÷ CN¥41b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Goldwind Science&Technology's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

On the face of it, Goldwind Science&Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 14% seen by Goldwind Science&Technology over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Goldwind Science&Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SZSE:002202 Past Earnings Growth November 17th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Goldwind Science&Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Goldwind Science&Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that Goldwind Science&Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Goldwind Science&Technology has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Regardless, the future ROE for Goldwind Science&Technology is predicted to rise to 7.8% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Goldwind Science&Technology. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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