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Is Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) A Risky Investment?

Is Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS) A Risky Investment?

金沙集团(纽交所:LVS)是一项高风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/17 22:52

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE:LVS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,拉斯维加斯金沙集团(纽约证券交易所代码:LVS)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is Las Vegas Sands's Debt?

拉斯维加斯金沙的债务是多少?

As you can see below, Las Vegas Sands had US$13.9b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$4.21b in cash, and so its net debt is US$9.67b.

如下所示,截至2024年9月,拉斯维加斯金沙集团的债务为139亿美元,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,它也有42.1亿美元的现金,因此其净负债为96.7亿美元。

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NYSE:LVS Debt to Equity History November 17th 2024
纽约证券交易所:LVS 债务与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 11 月 17 日

How Strong Is Las Vegas Sands' Balance Sheet?

拉斯维加斯金沙的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Las Vegas Sands had liabilities of US$5.35b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.4b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$4.21b and US$413.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$13.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,拉斯维加斯金沙在12个月内到期的负债为53.5亿美元,12个月以后到期的负债为124亿美元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为42.1亿美元,还有价值4.13亿美元的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出131亿美元。

Las Vegas Sands has a very large market capitalization of US$34.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

拉斯维加斯金沙的市值非常大,为348亿美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以其扣除利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既要考虑债务的绝对数量,也要考虑为其支付的利率。

Las Vegas Sands's debt is 2.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Las Vegas Sands grew its EBIT by 76% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Las Vegas Sands's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

拉斯维加斯金沙的债务是其息税折旧摊销前利润的2.5倍,其息税前利润支付了5.6倍的利息支出。这表明,尽管债务水平很高,但我们不会称其为有问题。重要的是,拉斯维加斯金沙集团在过去十二个月中其息税前利润增长了76%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定拉斯维加斯金沙集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Las Vegas Sands recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,值得检查一下该息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在最近两年中,拉斯维加斯金沙集团录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的73%,这几乎是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要的时候减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Las Vegas Sands's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Las Vegas Sands is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Las Vegas Sands .

拉斯维加斯金沙的息税前利润增长率表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。但是,更悲观的是,我们对其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例有些担忧。当我们考虑上述一系列因素时,拉斯维加斯金沙集团使用债务似乎相当明智。尽管这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,您应该注意我们在拉斯维加斯金沙发现的3个警告标志。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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