Haining China Leather Market Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002344) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.2% isn't as attractive.
After such a large jump in price, Haining China Leather MarketLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 35x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Haining China Leather MarketLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Haining China Leather MarketLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Haining China Leather MarketLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 29%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 59% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 69% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 40%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Haining China Leather MarketLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Haining China Leather MarketLtd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Haining China Leather MarketLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Haining China Leather MarketLtd that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.