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Optimistic Investors Push Fanli Digital Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600228) Shares Up 35% But Growth Is Lacking

Optimistic Investors Push Fanli Digital Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600228) Shares Up 35% But Growth Is Lacking

樂觀的投資者推動返利科技有限公司(SHSE:600228)股價上漲35%,但增長乏力。
Simply Wall St ·  11/18 17:46

Fanli Digital Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600228) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.8% over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Interactive Media and Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 8.7x, you may consider Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 10.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SHSE:600228 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 18th 2024

What Does Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 40% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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