Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Yanpu Metal Products Co.,Ltd (SHSE:605128) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd had CN¥487.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥328.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥161.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥325.4m.
How Strong Is Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd had liabilities of CN¥860.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥356.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥161.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥926.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥129.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥4.03b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt sitting at just 1.4 times EBITDA, Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.1 times the interest expense over the last year. Better yet, Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd grew its EBIT by 113% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Yanpu Metal ProductsLtd you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.