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AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

中航科工行业板块及科技有限公司 (HKG:2357) 的股票一直在下滑,但基本面看起来不错:市场会在未来纠正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/19 09:15

AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357) has had a rough week with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE.

中航工业与科技(HKG: 2357)经历了艰难的一周,其股价下跌了12%。但是,从长远来看,股票价格通常由公司的财务状况驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来相当可观。在本文中,我们决定重点关注中航工业与科技的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AviChina Industry & Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,中航工业与科技的投资回报率为:

6.8% = CN¥6.1b ÷ CN¥90b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

6.8% = 61元人民币 ÷ 900元人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.07 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1港元的股权,该公司就能获得0.07港元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

AviChina Industry & Technology's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中航工业与科技的收益增长和6.8%的投资回报率

On the face of it, AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 9.0%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. AviChina Industry & Technology was still able to see a decent net income growth of 11% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

从表面上看,中航工业与科技的投资回报率没什么好谈的。接下来,与9.0%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率使我们感到不那么热情。在过去五年中,中航工业与科技仍然能够实现11%的不错的净收入增长。因此,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,该公司的派息率较低或管理效率很高。

We then compared AviChina Industry & Technology's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 16% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将中航工业与科技的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期16%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

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SEHK:2357 Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024
SEHK: 2357 过去的收益增长 2024 年 11 月 19 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 2357 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 2357 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。今天的2357值多少钱?我们的免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图有助于可视化2357目前市场是否存在定价错误。

Is AviChina Industry & Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中航工业与科技是否有效地将其利润再投资?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (implying that the company retains 74% of its profits), it seems that AviChina Industry & Technology is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

AviChina Industry & Technology的三年派息率中位数为26%(这意味着该公司保留了74%的利润),似乎正在进行有效的再投资,其收益将实现可观的增长,并支付可观的股息。

Moreover, AviChina Industry & Technology is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Still, forecasts suggest that AviChina Industry & Technology's future ROE will rise to 9.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,中航工业与科技决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。根据分析师的最新估计,我们发现该公司未来三年的派息率预计将稳定在29%。尽管如此,预测表明,中航工业与科技的未来投资回报率将升至9.4%,尽管该公司的派息率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like AviChina Industry & Technology has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,中航工业与科技的业务看起来确实有一些积极的方面。也就是说,在高再投资率的支持下,收益的体面增长。但是,我们确实认为,如果业务在较低的投资回报率基础上有所改善,收益增长本来可以更高。特别是考虑到该公司正在将很大一部分利润再投资。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的收益有望加速。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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