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AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

中航科工行業板塊與科技公司有限公司(HKG:2357)股票一直在下滑,但基本面看起來良好:市場未來會糾正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/18 20:15

AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357) has had a rough week with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE.

中航工業與科技(HKG: 2357)經歷了艱難的一週,其股價下跌了12%。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。在本文中,我們決定重點關注中航工業與科技的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AviChina Industry & Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,中航工業與科技的投資回報率爲:

6.8% = CN¥6.1b ÷ CN¥90b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

6.8% = 61元人民幣 ÷ 900元人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.07 in profit.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1港元的股權,該公司就能獲得0.07港元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

AviChina Industry & Technology's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

中航工業與科技的收益增長和6.8%的投資回報率

On the face of it, AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 9.0%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. AviChina Industry & Technology was still able to see a decent net income growth of 11% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

從表面上看,中航工業與科技的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。接下來,與9.0%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率使我們感到不那麼熱情。在過去五年中,中航工業與科技仍然能夠實現11%的不錯的淨收入增長。因此,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如,該公司的派息率較低或管理效率很高。

We then compared AviChina Industry & Technology's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 16% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將中航工業與科技的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數字低於同期16%的行業平均增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

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SEHK:2357 Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024
SEHK: 2357 過去的收益增長 2024 年 11 月 19 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 2357 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 2357 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。今天的2357值多少錢?我們的免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖有助於可視化2357目前市場是否存在定價錯誤。

Is AviChina Industry & Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中航工業與科技是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (implying that the company retains 74% of its profits), it seems that AviChina Industry & Technology is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

AviChina Industry & Technology的三年派息率中位數爲26%(這意味着該公司保留了74%的利潤),似乎正在進行有效的再投資,其收益將實現可觀的增長,並支付可觀的股息。

Moreover, AviChina Industry & Technology is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Still, forecasts suggest that AviChina Industry & Technology's future ROE will rise to 9.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,中航工業與科技決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。根據分析師的最新估計,我們發現該公司未來三年的派息率預計將穩定在29%。儘管如此,預測表明,中航工業與科技的未來投資回報率將升至9.4%,儘管該公司的派息率預計不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like AviChina Industry & Technology has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,中航工業與科技的業務看起來確實有一些積極的方面。也就是說,在高再投資率的支持下,收益的體面增長。但是,我們確實認爲,如果業務在較低的投資回報率基礎上有所改善,收益增長本來可以更高。特別是考慮到該公司正在將很大一部分利潤再投資。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益有望加速。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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