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Here's Why Jilin Quanyangquan (SHSE:600189) Can Afford Some Debt

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 19, 2024 10:48

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600189) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Jilin Quanyangquan's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Jilin Quanyangquan had CN¥1.51b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥604.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥903.0m.

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SHSE:600189 Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024

How Strong Is Jilin Quanyangquan's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jilin Quanyangquan had liabilities of CN¥2.62b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥432.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥604.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.69b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥765.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Jilin Quanyangquan shares are worth a total of CN¥5.17b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jilin Quanyangquan will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Jilin Quanyangquan had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 16%, to CN¥1.1b. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While Jilin Quanyangquan's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥84m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥473m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Jilin Quanyangquan's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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