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Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) A Risky Investment?

上海交運股份(SHSE:600676)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/19 11:33

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,上海交雲集團有限公司(SHSE: 600676)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Carry?

上海交雲集團揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had debt of CN¥109.1m, up from CN¥49.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.75b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.64b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月,上海交雲集團的債務爲10910萬元人民幣,高於一年的4900萬元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有27.5元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有26.4元人民幣的淨現金。

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SHSE:600676 Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024
SHSE: 600676 2024 年 11 月 19 日債務與股本的比率記錄

How Healthy Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's Balance Sheet?

上海交雲集團的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had liabilities of CN¥1.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥640.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.75b as well as receivables valued at CN¥950.0m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,上海交雲集團的負債爲12.6元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲64040萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有27.5元人民幣的現金以及價值95000萬加元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多出18元人民幣的流動資產。

This luscious liquidity implies that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Jiao Yun Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這種豐厚的流動性意味着上海交雲集團的資產負債表像一棵巨型紅杉樹一樣堅固。考慮到這一點,人們可能會認爲其資產負債表意味着公司能夠應對一些逆境。簡而言之,上海交雲集團擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲上海交雲集團需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to CN¥4.4b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,上海交雲集團在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了22萬%。CN¥44。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group?

那麼上海交雲集團的風險有多大?

Although Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥413m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Jiao Yun Group .

儘管上海交雲集團在過去十二個月中出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但它創造了41300萬元人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,儘管虧損,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太大的短期資產負債表風險。由於去年的收入增長平平,我們認爲投資機會並不特別引人注目。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在上海交雲集團發現的1個警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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