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Is SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD (SHSE:601399) A Risky Investment?

Is SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD (SHSE:601399) A Risky Investment?

中聯重科股份有限公司(SHSE:601399)是否是一個風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 12:52

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD (SHSE:601399) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過,'波動性遠非與風險同義。' 所以,當你考慮某個股票有多風險的時候,顯然需要考慮債務,因爲過高的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。重要的是,國機重裝(SHSE:601399)確實揹負着債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於債權人的掌控之中。 資本主義的一部分是『創造性毀滅』的過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行無情清算。 然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須在低價股份下稀釋股東,只是爲了控制債務。 當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要的工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。 當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先將現金和債務一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD Carry?

國機重裝承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD had debt of CN¥3.01b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.50b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥7.71b in cash, so it actually has CN¥4.71b net cash.

下圖可以點擊以獲取更多細節,顯示國機重裝在2024年9月底的債務爲30.1億人民幣,相比一年前的35億人民幣有所減少。不過,它的資產負債表顯示它擁有77.1億人民幣的現金,因此實際上它有47.1億的淨現金。

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SHSE:601399 Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024
SHSE:601399債務與股權歷史 2024年11月19日

A Look At SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD's Liabilities

國機重裝有限公司的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD had liabilities of CN¥13.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.36b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.71b in cash and CN¥7.95b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.20b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,國機重裝有限公司的負債爲135億人民幣,需在一年內償還,且在此之後還有33.6億人民幣的負債。爲了抵消這些負債,它有77.1億人民幣的現金和79.5億人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出12億人民幣。

Given SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD has a market capitalization of CN¥23.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到國機重裝有限公司的市值爲238億人民幣,難以相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。但負債確實足夠,我們會建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。儘管負債頗爲顯著,國機重裝有限公司仍然擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它並沒有承受重債負擔!

Better yet, SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD grew its EBIT by 461% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

更好的是,國機重裝有限公司去年的EBIT增長了461%,這是一個令人印象深刻的提升。這一增長將使其未來償還債務變得更加容易。當分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但你不能孤立地看待債務,因爲國機重裝有限公司需要盈利來服務於這些債務。因此在考慮債務時,查看盈利趨勢是非常值得的。點擊這裏查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,一個企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;僅靠會計利潤是無法足夠的。儘管國機重裝有限公司在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它在多快地積累(或消耗)這筆現金。對任何股東來說,國機重裝有限公司實際上在過去三年中產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金生成讓我們感到溫暖,就像小狗穿着黃蜂服一樣。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD has CN¥4.71b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥636m, being 194% of its EBIT. So we don't think SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUPLTD's earnings per share history for free.

雖然查看一家公司的總負債總是明智的,但國機重裝的淨現金爲47.1億人民幣,這讓人感到非常放心。此外,它的自由現金流爲63600萬人民幣,相當於其息稅前利潤的194%。因此,我們認爲國機重裝的債務使用並不風險。在大多數其他指標之上,我們認爲跟蹤每股收益的增長速度是非常重要的。如果你也意識到了這一點,那麼你很幸運,因爲今天你可以免費查看國機重裝每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

無論最終結果如何,有時候更容易關注那些根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費獲取一份淨債務爲零的成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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