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Room For Allianz General To Outperform

Room For Allianz General To Outperform

安联财产保险有望表现优异
Business Today ·  2024/11/20 10:41
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Allianz's life and general businesses are two very complementary businesses that continue to see strong business growth. Both businesses continue to grow in-step and provide investors with exposure to the largest general insurer in the country by gross written premiums and one of the five largest life insurers in Malaysia. Maybank IB has kept its BUY call with an unchanged SOTP-driven target price of MYR24.85. Yields above 5% provide support.

安联的人寿业务和一般业务是两项非常互补的业务,它们继续保持强劲的业务增长。两项业务继续同步增长,为投资者提供了按总承保保费计算的该国最大的普通保险公司和马来西亚五大人寿保险公司之一的投资机会。马来亚银行Ib维持买入看涨期权,SOTP驱动的目标价维持在24.85令吉不变。收益率高于5%提供了支撑。

Such complementary businesses
Allianz's life and general businesses have played very complementary roles over the years, both of which have grown relatively in-step with each other. Contributions are about equal, with Allianz Life accounting for 54% of group gross written premiums (GWP) and 43% of group pretax profit in FY23. Over the past 5 years, Allianz Life's GWP and pretax profit have grown at a CAGR of 8.3% and 15% respectively, while Allianz General's GWP and pretax profit have expanded at a CAGR of 7.2% and 12% respectively

这样的互补业务
多年来,安联的生活和一般业务发挥了非常互补的作用,两者的发展相对步调一致。缴款额大致相等,安联人寿在23财年占集团总保费(GWP)的54%,占集团税前利润的43%。在过去的5年中,安联人寿的GWP和税前利润分别以8.3%和15%的复合年增长率增长,而安联的GWP和税前利润分别以7.2%和12%的复合年增长率增长

Room for Allianz General to outperform
Given the prevailing trends in car sales and applications for auto, residential and non-residential property loans, Allianz General's GWP growth could moderate into 2H24, we think. Nevertheless, FY24 GWP growth could still outperform FY24E GWP growth forecast of 10%. Moreover, there is room for upside surprise, should its combined ratio normalise from an exceptionally high 90.1% in 2Q24.

安联通用还有跑赢大盘的空间
我们认为,鉴于汽车销售以及汽车、住宅和非住宅物业贷款申请的当前趋势,安联通用的 GWP 增长可能会放缓到24年下半年。尽管如此,24财年的GWP增长仍可能超过FY24E 10%的GWP增长预测。此外,如果其合并比率从24年第二季度的异常高点90.1%恢复正常,则仍有上行空间。

Strong NBV growth at Allianz Life
Allianz Life's New Business Value (NBV) saw strong growth of 26.7% YoY in 1H24. Its VNB of MYR266m was 1.3x its Contractual Service Margin (CSM) release of MYR237m, which was 23.6% higher YoY in 1H24. As at 30 June 2024, Allianz Life's CSM was at MYR3.46b

安联人寿的NBV强劲增长
安联人寿的新业务价值(NBV)在24年上半年实现了26.7%的强劲增长。其26600万令吉的vNB是其发布的23700万令吉的合同服务利润率(CSM)的1.3倍,在24年上半年同比增长23.6%。截至2024年6月30日,安联人寿的cSM为34.6亿马币

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