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凯投宏观:新西兰联储仍将继续积极放松货币政策

Gelonghui Finance ·  Nov 20, 2024 03:15

格隆汇11月20日|凯投宏观表示,新西兰联储下周将把政策利率下调50个基点至4.25%。经济学家Abhijit Surya说,随着通胀回到目标水平,劳动力市场迅速放松,经济活动陷入低迷,大幅降息是有充分理由的。最近的数据几乎没有让新西兰联储放慢宽松步伐的迹象。他指出,一些评论人士甚至呼吁降息75个基点,因为这次会议与2月份的下一次会议之间存在异常漫长的时间间隔。但该行指出,如此大的波动通常是在危机全面爆发时才会出现。无论如何,该行认为新西兰最终会将利率降至中性以下,以减轻通胀低于目标的风险。

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