Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Wonders Information Co., Ltd (SZSE:300168) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Wonders Information's Debt?
As you can see below, Wonders Information had CN¥2.97b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.15b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.82b.
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A Look At Wonders Information's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wonders Information had liabilities of CN¥3.87b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.05b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.15b and CN¥1.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.20b.
Since publicly traded Wonders Information shares are worth a total of CN¥11.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wonders Information can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Wonders Information made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.9b, which is a fall of 35%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Wonders Information's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥972m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥172m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Wonders Information has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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