S&P Global Market Intelligence Has Released a Report Exploring How Climate Change and Extreme Weather Are Reshaping the Insurance Industry
S&P Global Market Intelligence Has Released a Report Exploring How Climate Change and Extreme Weather Are Reshaping the Insurance Industry
NEW YORK, Nov. 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Global Market Intelligence has released a report today showing how evolving natural catastrophe risks due to climate change are forcing insurers to reevaluate their relationships with each other and the world at large. The newly published Evolving Natural Catastrophe Risks report is part of S&P Global Market Intelligence's Big Picture 2025 Outlook Report Series.
紐約,2024年11月20日 /美通社/ -- 標普全球市場情報今天發佈了一份報告,顯示氣候變化導致的自然災害風險不斷演變,迫使保險公司重新評估彼此及與全球的關係。新發布的《自然災害風險演變報告》是標普全球市場情報2025大局展望報告系列的一部分。
In this new report, S&P Global Market Intelligence's climate, insurance and industry experts highlight how secondary perils like floods, fires and severe convective storms — as distinct from the insurance industry's peak perils of tropical cyclones and earthquakes — are now making up a larger portion of catastrophe losses in recent years. Insurers and reinsurers are used to picking up the tab for natural catastrophes, but the increasing frequency and severity of mid-sized events and hurricanes hitting previously unaffected areas has led to an overhaul of the industry's approach to those payouts.
在這份新報告中,標普全球市場情報的氣候、保險和行業專家強調,次要風險如洪水、火災和強對流風暴,與保險行業的主要風險如熱帶氣旋和地震不同,近年來佔據了災害損失的更大比例。保險公司和再保險公司習慣於爲自然災害買單,但中型事件和颶風頻率及嚴重性的增加,使得行業對這些賠付的處理方式發生了改變。
"The insurance industry has often acted as an early warning system for individuals and industries looking to understand and mitigate future risk. With climate change expected to increase the severity and frequency of natural catastrophes, understanding this altered risk environment is paramount. Insurers have been beating the drum on a variety of climate change risks for many years so their current focus on extreme weather should be a cross-industry concern," said Raymond Barrett, lead author of the report at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
「保險行業往往充當個人和各行業早期預警系統,幫助他們理解和減少未來風險。隨着氣候變化預計將增加自然災害的嚴重性和頻率,理解這種變化的風險環境至關重要。保險公司多年來一直在強調各種氣候變化風險,因此他們目前對極端天氣的關注應引起各行業的重視,」 標普全球市場情報報告的首席作者雷蒙德·巴雷特表示。
Key highlights from the report include:
報告的主要亮點包括:
- Secondary perils such as floods and fires played a large role in the global reinsurance industry failing to earn its cost of capital for five of the six years between 2017 and 2022. The knock-on effect of this new reality has insurers paying more for cover to the reinsurance industry and retaining more risk on their own books.
- One striking example of how the risk landscape has changed is the damage wrought by Hurricane Helene in North Carolina. Hurricanes generally cause the most destruction in coastal regions but in this case the Appalachian Mountains saw some of the most severe devastation from the storm. However, a significant portion of the economic losses caused by Helene are not insured, as flooding falls outside the terms and conditions of most insurance policies in the U.S.
- It has been a costly 2024 so far for European-focused insurers after two large floods hit the central and eastern parts of the continent. S&P Global Sustainable1 data shows that the northernmost part of Germany will be particularly susceptible to increased pluvial flooding in the 2050s.
- These findings highlight the necessity for robust infrastructure design and prioritizing flood-resistant construction. As drought, water stress and localized flooding risks intensify, strategic planning and proactive risk management will be vital to safeguard against evolving climate challenges.
- 次要風險如洪水和火災在2017年至2022年間六年中的五年裏,對全球再保險行業未能獲得資本成本起到了重要作用。這種新現實的連鎖反應使得保險公司需爲再保險行業支付更多的費用,並在自身賬簿上承擔更多風險。
- 一個明顯的例子是北卡羅來納州赫勒娜颶風造成的損害。颶風通常在沿海地區造成最大的破壞,但在這種情況下,阿巴拉契亞山脈經歷了最嚴重的風暴災害。然而,由赫勒娜造成的經濟損失中有相當一部分是未投保的,因爲洪水超出了美國大多數保險政策的條款和條件。
- 到目前爲止,2024年對於專注於歐洲的保險公司來說代價高昂,因爲中部和東部地區發生了兩次大洪水。S&P Global Sustainable1的數據表明,德國北部地區在2050年代將特別容易受到增量性降雨洪水的影響。
- 這些發現強調了對強大基礎設施設計的必要性,以及優先考慮防洪施工的重要性。隨着乾旱、水資源壓力和局部洪水風險的加劇,戰略規劃和主動風險管理將是抵禦不斷變化的氣候挑戰的關鍵。
To request a copy of the Evolving Natural Catastrophe Risks report please contact [email protected]
要請求《不斷演變的自然災害風險》報告的副本,請聯繫 [email protected]
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