Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Stock a Good Buy?
Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Stock a Good Buy?
For investors looking at top Canadian bank stocks, there are a number of factors to consider. These are obviously top dividend stocks many retirees and those nearing retirement consider for their passive-income potential. However, certain banks have better growth profiles than others, with varying levels of diversification tied to their business lines and geographic footprints.
對於正在關注加拿大頂級銀行股的投資者,有許多因素需要考慮。這些顯然是許多退休人士和即將退休人士考慮其 passsive-income 潛力的頂級股息股票。然而,某些銀行具有比其他銀行更好的增長概況,與其業務線和地理業務的多樣化程度息息相關。
One such stock I think is particularly interesting to look at is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM). This leading Canadian bank is part of the "Big Five" and is more heavily exposed to the Canadian economy than its peers.
我認爲特別值得關注的一隻股票是加拿大帝國商業銀行 (tsx:cm)。這家領先的加拿大銀行是「五大銀行」之一,與其同行相比更多地暴露於加拿大經濟。
Let's dive into whether this bank stock is a buy, sell, or hold right now.
讓我們來看看這家銀行股票現在是買入、賣出還是持有。
What makes CIBC different?
什麼使得加拿大帝國商業銀行與衆不同?
Unlike many of its competitors in the Canadian banking space, CIBC has remained increasingly focused on the domestic Canadian market, with a considerable mortgage and corporate lending portfolio that positions this bank as a leading way for investors to gain exposure to the Canadian economy.
與加拿大銀行業內許多競爭對手不同,加拿大帝國商業銀行一直專注於國內加拿大市場,擁有大量的抵押貸款和公司貸款組合,這使得該銀行成爲投資者獲取加拿大經濟曝露的主要途徑。
In other words, for those bullish on where Canada is headed over the next five to 10 years, this is a bank stock that may be a viable way to play this trend.
換句話說,對於看好加拿大未來五到十年走勢的人來說,這是一隻可能是有效把握這一趨勢的銀行股。
The Canadian economy has continued to provide slow but steady growth over time. However, with interest rates coming down faster than many of its G7 peers thanks to the Bank of Canada, some analysts project that growth could pick up. Indeed, if the country's overall growth rate improves (and the credit quality of consumers and businesses as well) faster than the global market, this could be a top way to play this trend. Currently, opinions vary on this front — headwinds are starting to be seen in the housing market. But if Canada can once again weather the storm clouds on the horizon, this bank could be poised for a nice reversion rally moving forward.
加拿大經濟一直在不斷提供緩慢但穩定的增長。然而,隨着利率下降速度快於加拿大銀行之外的許多 G7 同行,多虧加拿大銀行,一些分析師預計增長可能會加速。如果該國的整體增長率提高(以及消費者和企業的信貸質量也提高)速度快於全球市場,這可能會成爲把握這一趨勢的主要途徑。目前,對於這一前景的看法有所不同——房地產市場開始出現阻力。但如果加拿大再次能夠應對地平線上的暗雲,這家銀行可能會在前進中迎來一輪不錯的反彈行情。
Results matter
結果至關重要
For investors considering investing in CIBC, I'd recommend watching the company's incoming earnings reports closely. This is a bank stock that's seen a relative discount compared to its peers for some time. And trading at less than 13 times earnings, one could make the argument that there's some serious value here.
對於考慮投資加拿大帝國商業銀行的投資者,我建議密切關注公司即將公佈的業績。這是一家銀行股,與同行相比一直處於相對摺價狀態。以不到13倍的市盈率交易,可以說這裏存在着一些嚴重的價值。
However, headwinds related to the housing market could provide some headwinds over time, particularly if the Canadian housing market cools considerably from here. We'll have to watch how lending growth continues and see if CIBC can maintain its 7.5% EPS growth (the rate seen in recent quarters) in the coming year.
然而,與房地產市場相關的逆風可能會隨着時間的推移帶來一些阻力,特別是如果加拿大房地產市場從現在開始大幅降溫。我們將需要觀察貸款增長的持續情況,並看看加拿大帝國商業銀行是否能在未來一年內保持7.5%的每股收益增長率(與最近幾個季度的增長率相當)。
If the company can see sustained growth from here, its multiple may be validated, and higher highs could be seen in the coming quarters.
如果公司能夠從現在開始實現持續增長,其倍增率可能會得到驗證,並且在未來幾個季度可能會達到更高的高點。
I'm cautious right now
我現在持謹慎態度
CIBC is a top Canadian bank that's seen a considerable amount of buying pressure of late as the outlook for the Canadian economy has improved. That said, I'm still remaining cautious with this name, as I'm not entirely certain that economic headwinds have abated domestically.
加拿大帝國商業銀行是加拿大頂尖銀行,隨着加拿大經濟前景改善,最近一段時間以來受到了相當多的購買壓力。儘管如此,我仍然對這個股票名字保持謹慎態度,因爲我並不完全確定國內的經濟逆風已經消退。
A soft landing scenario is certainly the consensus most analysts are now forecasting in the U.S. and Canadian markets. We'll have to see how this plays out. For those looking at making a medium-term investment in this name, I think taking a cautious approach is likely warranted, though I think this stock is one that should do fine over the long term.
軟着陸的情景顯然是目前大多數分析師對美國和加拿大市場的預測。我們將看看情況是如何發展的。對於那些考慮對這個股票進行中期投資的人來說,我認爲採取謹慎的態度是合理的,儘管我認爲這支股票長期來看應該會表現良好。