Shandong Daye Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603278) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 49% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Shandong Daye may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Shandong Daye's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Shandong Daye's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shandong Daye will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Shandong Daye's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.7% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 26% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shandong Daye's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Bottom Line On Shandong Daye's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Shandong Daye's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
In line with expectations, Shandong Daye maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Shandong Daye has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shandong Daye, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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