Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600119) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 28%.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Logistics industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 5.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 27%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 31% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment IndustryLtd with six simple checks.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.