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Improved Earnings Required Before Anhui Sierte Fertilizer Industry LTD. ,company (SZSE:002538) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 21 07:16

Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry LTD. ,company (SZSE:002538) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 36x and even P/E's above 70x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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SZSE:002538 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 71%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 52% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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