Despite an already strong run, Hainan RuiZe New Building Material Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002596) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.6% over the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Basic Materials industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd Has Been Performing
For instance, Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 51% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd's P/S?
The large bounce in Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hainan RuiZe New Building MaterialLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.